Box sets » Welsh taxes outlook - January 2026

Table showing the Welsh rates of income tax in 2023-24: forecast versus outturn
Welsh rates of income tax receipts in 2023-24 were higher than forecast. In this box, we assessed the reasons for this forecast difference.
Chart showing property prices and transactions: changes between 2022-23 and 2024 25 forecasts versus outturn
Land transaction tax receipts in 2024-25 were higher than forecast. In this box, we explored the factors behind this forecast difference, which was largely driven by stronger than expected residential transactions and prices.
Landfill disposals tax receipts in 2024-25 were higher than forecast. In this box, we explored the factors behind this forecast difference.
Chart showing number of taxpayers brought into tax bands by threshold freezes
The UK Government's freezes to personal tax thresholds are expected to have a positive effect on the Welsh Government's budget. This box explored the reasons why.